Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-10 0.064872 0.073264 0.081841 0.091231 0.101193 0.111419 0.122681
2025-08-17 0.051132 0.063406 0.076561 0.091569 0.108088 0.125600 0.145454
2025-08-24 0.039956 0.054113 0.069952 0.088666 0.109883 0.132935 0.159632
2025-08-31 0.031933 0.047117 0.064806 0.086361 0.111416 0.139186 0.171888
2025-09-07 0.027211 0.043344 0.062805 0.087131 0.115964 0.148414 0.187104
2025-09-14 0.023824 0.040768 0.061865 0.088822 0.121305 0.158321 0.202898
2025-09-21 0.021900 0.039822 0.062728 0.092511 0.128859 0.170672 0.221401
2025-09-28 0.019205 0.037519 0.061638 0.093612 0.133174 0.179143 0.235348
2025-10-05 0.019315 0.039105 0.065552 0.100933 0.144993 0.196422 0.259525
2025-10-12 0.016407 0.036029 0.063118 0.100080 0.146734 0.201715 0.269670
2025-10-19 0.014735 0.034607 0.062763 0.101775 0.151522 0.210566 0.283934
2025-10-26 0.012841 0.032622 0.061491 0.102166 0.154603 0.217313 0.295673
2025-11-02 0.011250 0.031069 0.060890 0.103610 0.159274 0.226325 0.310555
2025-11-09 0.009489 0.029012 0.059456 0.103895 0.162482 0.233609 0.323472
2025-11-16 0.007166 0.025525 0.055654 0.100767 0.161171 0.235250 0.329532
2025-11-23 0.005362 0.022615 0.052467 0.098290 0.160548 0.237625 0.336380
2025-11-30 0.004442 0.021334 0.051701 0.099116 0.164173 0.245218 0.349511
2025-12-07 0.003805 0.020551 0.051663 0.100933 0.169074 0.254385 0.364549
2025-12-14 0.003565 0.020685 0.053116 0.104891 0.176820 0.267124 0.383962
2025-12-21 0.002956 0.019733 0.052686 0.106072 0.180837 0.275168 0.397633
2025-12-28 0.003294 0.021417 0.056777 0.113912 0.193813 0.294533 0.425214
2026-01-04 0.002488 0.019705 0.054958 0.113000 0.194993 0.298992 0.434501
2026-01-11 0.002103 0.019098 0.055003 0.114813 0.199830 0.308066 0.449457